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Bolsonaro’s authoritarian pursuits put the West in a bind (Brazilian Report)

https://brazilian.report/opinion/2022/08/02/bolsonaro-authoritarian-west-in-a-bind/

Two months ahead of the presidential elections, Western diplomats face a dilemma as Jair Bolsonaro signals he will not recognize the result if he loses
 

While Donald Trump’s decision not to recognize his electoral defeat in 2020 and to mobilize his followers to invade the U.S. Congress surely came as a shock to foreign diplomats, no international observer in Brasília will be able to feign surprise if Jair Bolsonaro decides to not recognize his defeat in the presidential elections two months from now, as polls currently suggest.

Mr. Bolsonaro has gone to such great lengths to attack the country’s voting system and to convince his followers not to trust electronic voting machines that his formal acceptance of defeat could very well fail to impress many of his voters.

Indeed, the president’s eldest son, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of Rio de Janeiro, recently argued that the president could not control people who wished to use violence in protest against the electoral result, implying that the president should not be held accountable.

At first sight, the high probability of a post-electoral crisis in Brazil creates an advantage for Western…

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Oliver Stuenkel

Oliver Della Costa Stuenkel é analista político, autor, palestrante e professor na Escola de Relações Internacionais da Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) em São Paulo. Ele também é pesquisador no Carnegie Endowment em Washington DC e no Instituto de Política Pública Global (GPPi) ​​em Berlim, e colunista do Estadão e da revista Americas Quarterly. Sua pesquisa concentra-se na geopolítica, nas potências emergentes, na política latino-americana e no papel do Brasil no mundo. Ele é o autor de vários livros sobre política internacional, como The BRICS and the Future of Global Order (Lexington) e Post-Western World: How emerging powers are remaking world order (Polity). Ele atualmente escreve um livro sobre a competição tecnológica entre a China e os Estados Unidos.

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