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Return to democratic stability in Brazil will depend on successful center-right party (Brazilian Report)

The radicalization of the Novo Party and the decline of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party suggests Brazil’s moderate right remains a political wasteland

Oliver Stuenkel
Dec 14

When João Amoêdo recently announced, on Twitter, his decision to leave the Novo Party, which he had himself founded a decade earlier, the parallels with Bernd Lucke’s decision to quit the Alternative for Germany party (AfD) a few years earlier were striking. 

Both men had sought to establish conservative, pro-market, and slightly anti-establishment outfits. But both parties soon attracted more radical anti-democratic elements which ended up pushing out moderates like Messrs. Amoêdo and Lucke. 

When Mr. Lucke quit AfD in 2015, he explained that he was no longer willing to be used as a moderate cover for a grouping that had begun to embrace authoritarian rhetoric and flirt with the far-right. In the same way, Mr. Amoêdo lambasted the Novo outfit and accused it of attacking the pillars of the republic and “stimulating anti-democratic actions.” 

In recent years, Novo has largely become a pro-Jair Bolsonaro group and fiercely criticized Mr. Amoêdo for reluctantly supporting center-left leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil’s October presidential runoff. 

More importantly, Novo congressmen such as Marcel van Hattem called, in the aftermath of Mr. Bolsonaro’s defeat, for the establishment…

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SOBRE

Oliver Stuenkel

Oliver Della Costa Stuenkel é analista político, autor, palestrante e professor na Escola de Relações Internacionais da Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) em São Paulo. Ele também é pesquisador no Carnegie Endowment em Washington DC e no Instituto de Política Pública Global (GPPi) ​​em Berlim, e colunista do Estadão e da revista Americas Quarterly. Sua pesquisa concentra-se na geopolítica, nas potências emergentes, na política latino-americana e no papel do Brasil no mundo. Ele é o autor de vários livros sobre política internacional, como The BRICS and the Future of Global Order (Lexington) e Post-Western World: How emerging powers are remaking world order (Polity). Ele atualmente escreve um livro sobre a competição tecnológica entre a China e os Estados Unidos.

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