The U.S. Plan for Venezuela Has a Precedent. It’s Not Good (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)

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Lessons from early twentieth-century “fiscal receivership” efforts should be a warning for Venezuela.

Last week, after the U.S. military operation in Venezuela toppled President Nicolás Maduro, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a three-phase plan for administering the country’s vast oil reserves from Washington. Beyond overseeing production and sales, Rubio also suggested that the United States would control how the proceeds from oil sales are allocated, claiming this would ensure that revenues benefit the Venezuelan population rather than corrupt powerholders. Given that oil accounts for the significant majority of Venezuela’s public income, this would effectively give Washington decisive influence over the country’s budgetary priorities.

The administration’s Venezuela plan represents a stark departure from U.S. regime-change operations of the past eight decades. It reflects neither the ideological motivations of the Cold War era nor the democratic idealism that shaped post–Cold War interventions. Instead, President Donald Trump’s vision of low-cost extraction—managing the sale and proceeds of Venezuelan oil without U.S. administrators or troops on the ground—seems to revive a much older model: fiscal receivership. This approach, pioneered under President Theodore Roosevelt in the early twentieth century, offers a set of instructive historical precedents as Washington embarks on a potentially risky experiment in Venezuela.

Between 1904 and the 1930s, the United States supervised fiscal receiverships in several Latin American and Caribbean countries, most notably the Dominican Republic, Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Panama. These arrangements did not amount to formal protectorates but often functioned like them in practice. U.S. officials assumed control over key revenue streams—most commonly customs houses, which at the time were the primary source of state income—and in some cases also exercised authority over internal taxation and budgeting. Local governments retained nominal sovereignty and formal political institutions, but decisions over revenue collection, debt servicing, and public spending increasingly flowed through Washington.

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