Brazil’s Presidential Transition: A Chance for Re-engagement (European Democracy Hub)
https://europeandemocracyhub.epd.eu/projects/european-responses-to-moments-of-democratic-opportunity/
Why Electoral Violence Starts—and How It Can End (Foreign Policy)
Why Electoral Violence Starts—and How It Can End As Americans prepare to vote in a tense presidential contest, these countries show a way out of political polarization. November 1, 2024 By Robert A. Pape, Dushni Weerakoon, Oliver Stuenkel, Adem Kassie Abebe, and Daniel Finn
Brazil’s BRICS Balancing Act Is Getting Harder (Americas Quarterly)
By Oliver Stuenkel October 21, 2024 The bloc’s expansion is amplifying its anti-Western tendencies, creating strategic risks for Brazil. https://americasquarterly.org/article/brazils-brics-balancing-act-is-getting-harder/ Since Brazil co-founded the BRICS in 2009, Brazilian analysts and politicians have largely agreed that membership brought tangible benefits to the country—including closer ties to China. But as this year’s summit approaches, the costs are adding […]
Trump Has His Own Monroe Doctrine (Foreign Policy)
As president, his aggressive stance toward the region led many countries to warm to China. Trump Has His Own Monroe Doctrine Ahead of November’s U.S. presidential election, several right-wing Latin American leaders have been open about their support for Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump. Among them are Argentine President Javier Milei, Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele, and former […]
Volta de Trump pode complicar estratégia brasileira de equidistância entre China e EUA (Estadão)
https://www.estadao.com.br/internacional/oliver-stuenkel/volta-de-trump-pode-complicar-estrategia-brasileira-de-equidistancia-entre-china-e-eua/ Pressão norte-americana para que o Brasil “escolha um lado” deve aumentar se o candidato republicano voltar à Casa Branca O debate doméstico profundamente polarizado pode fazer esquecer que, no âmbito da política externa, há um amplo consenso em expressiva parcela da esquerda e da direita brasileira: a maioria acredita que o Brasil deve preservar […]
Why Lula Is Silent on Haiti (Foreign Policy)
Why Lula Is Silent on Haiti Brazil’s earlier intervention not only failed to secure the Caribbean nation—it is also linked to Bolsonaro’s militarization of government. By Oliver Stuenkel, an associate professor of international relations at the Getulio Vargas Foundation in São Paulo. Haiti is on the verge of political collapse. As the country’s security situation […]
Entrevista: “O governo Lula tem que fazer mais para despolitizar as Forças Armadas” (Visão)
https://visao.pt/ideias/2024-03-31-o-governo-lula-tem-de-fazer-mais-para-despolitizar-as-forcas-armadas-brasileiras-porque-aqueles-que-estiveram-envolvidos-nos-planos-golpistas-permanecem-quase-todos-impunes/?utm_source=copy_paste O professor de relações internacionais Oliver Stuenkel em entrevista à VISÃO É um académico que sabe e adora comunicar. Nas redes sociais e em órgãos de comunicação social de referência (The New York Times, Foreign Policy, Americas Quarterly, El País, ZDF, Globo) é capaz de comentar – em português, inglês ou alemão – o […]
Lula’s Unforced Errors Are Taking a Toll on the World’s Goodwill (Americas Quarterly)
BY OLIVER STUENKEL MARCH 27, 2024 Brazil’s president has restored his country’s international reputation, but his provocative gestures are bedeviling progress on his top goals. Lula’s Unforced Errors Are Taking a Toll on the World’s Goodwill SÃO PAULO — In early 2022, with little more than eight months to go before Brazil’s presidential elections, Jair […]
Brazil’s Polarization Is Here to Stay Even As Politicians Have Mostly Dialed Down the Rhetoric (Americas Quarterly)
Brazil’s Polarization Is Here to Stay Even As Politicians Have (Mostly) Dialed Down the Rhetoric The political debate in Latin America’s largest democracy looks less destructive than it used to be. SÃO PAULO — Over recent days, political debates in Brazil briefly seemed to have returned to the heyday of polarization before the 2022 presidential […]
How U.S. Pressure Helped Save Brazil’s Democracy (Foreign Policy)
How U.S. Pressure Helped Save Brazil’s Democracy Mounting evidence suggests Biden kept pro-Bolsonaro generals from executing a coup By Oliver Stuenkel, an associate professor of international relations at the Getulio Vargas Foundation in São Paulo Two weeks ago, Brazil’s federal police launched a high-profile raid against former President Jair Bolsonaro and more than 10 of […]
Where Europe-South America Relations Go From Here (Foreign Policy)
Where Europe-South America Relations Go From Here By abandoning the EU-Mercosur deal, both continents missed a historic opportunity to adapt to a more unstable world. By Oliver Stuenkel Nearly a quarter of a century ago, in June 1999, heads of state and government from the European Union gathered with their Latin American and Caribbean […]
What is Brazil’s Stance on the Israel-Hamas Conflict in Gaza? (Carnegie)
https://carnegie-mec.org/2023/11/24/gaza-war-and-rest-of-world-pub-91106 Brazil’s president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, better known as Lula, has long sought to position Latin America’s largest country as an important actor on the international stage, with a seat at the table of the powerful and the capacity to set the agenda of the global debate. In 2010, he sought to negotiate, […]
Entrevista: “Para Brasil, Rusia es un elemento crucial para un mundo multipolar” (La Vanguardia)
https://www.lavanguardia.com/internacional/20230930/9264272/oliver-stuenkel-brasil-rusia-elemento-crucial-mundo-multipolar.html Autor del libro “El mundo post-occidental” y experto en relaciones internacionales de la Fundación Getulio Vargas en Sao Paulo, Oliver Stuenkel ve una divergencia irreversible entre Brasil y Estados Unidos debido a la emergencia de un mundo multipolar. Respondió así a las preguntas de La Vanguardia. ¿Cree que hay posibilidad de un acercamiento de […]
Europa verspielt Einfluss in Südamerika (Handelsblatt)
Seit Jahrzehnten wird Europa für die Staaten der Region unwichtiger. Das Mercosur-Freihandelsabkommen ist wohl die letzte Chance, diesen Prozess aufzuhalten. Kommentar von Oliver Stuenkel 28.09.2023 https://www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/global-challenges/gastkommentar-global-challenges-europa-verspielt-einfluss-in-suedamerika/29413074.html Kurz vor der Jahrtausendwende, im Juni 1999, trafen sich Regierungschefs der Europäischen Union, Lateinamerikas und der Karibik in Rio de Janeiro zum ersten interregionalen Gipfel und unterzeichneten unter großer Aufmerksamkeit eine […]
Expansão do Brics é triunfo diplomático para Pequim e traz desafios para o Brasil (Estadão)
https://www.estadao.com.br/internacional/oliver-stuenkel/brics-antiocidental-e-triunfo-diplomatico-para-pequim-e-desafio-para-o-brasil-leia-a-analise/ Inclinação mais antiocidental do grupo BRICS requer recalibragem estratégica da política externa brasileira A expansão do grupo BRICS, anunciada durante a 15ª cúpula dos líderes em Joanesburgo, dá início a um novo capítulo do bloco, que agora passará a incluir o Egito, a Etiópia, o Irã, a Arabia Saudita e os Emirados Árabes Unidos. […]
Brazil’s political risk plummets amid Jan. 8 reaction (Brazilian Report)
Latin America’s largest nation seems to have digested its armed insurgency better than the U.S. did. https://brazilian.report/opinion/2023/08/15/brazil-risk-january-8/ Contrasting the harrowing scenes on January 8, 2023, when supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress, the presidential palace, and the Supreme Court, the aftermath of the court ruling that turned Mr. Bolsonaro ineligible in late June […]