BRICS Democracies Are Losing Leverage (Foreign Policy)

To increase their bargaining power, Brazil, India, and South Africa should resurrect a dormant diplomatic forum. In 2003, India, Brazil, and South Africa established what they called the IBSA Dialogue Forum. The trilateral initiative aimed to promote south-south cooperation, reform global governance structures, and amplify the three democracies’ voices on the international stage. In the […]

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A Alemanha deve proibir seu segundo maior partido? (Estadão)

  O avanço da AfD na Alemanha reabre o debate sobre os limites da tolerância democrática — e evoca as consequências trágicas da hesitação diante do nazismo nos anos 1930 O que fazer quando um número crescente de eleitores apoia um partido que representa uma ameaça à ordem democrática? Esse é o dilema que a […]

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O Trump 2.0 vai ser um ídolo ou espantalho? (Estadão)

Enquanto o presidente norte-americano enfraqueceu candidatos trumpistas no Canadá e na Austrália, o avanço de Nigel Farage no Reino Unido revela que Trump ainda inspira populistas mundo afora Até recentemente, muitos analistas previam que a volta de Donald Trump ao poder facilitaria a ascensão de líderes semelhantes mundo afora — políticos que buscam se promover […]

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How Will the Second Trump Administration Affect Global Democracy? (Carnegie)

As the United States steps back from diplomacy and aid aimed at supporting democracy abroad, new analytical tools are needed to assess how the new U.S. administration will impact democracy globally by Thomas Carothers and Oliver Stuenkel Published on April 28, 2025 The effects of the second administration of U.S. President Donald Trump on U.S. democracy are attracting […]

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The Risks—and One Major Opportunity—Trump Presents to Brazil (Carnegie)

Brasília hopes to position itself as a constructive and autonomous voice as the international system grows more contested This piece is part of a Carnegie series examining the impacts of Trump’s first 100 days in office. For Brazil, U.S. President Donald Trump’s return to the White House presents at least two significant risks and one strategic opportunity […]

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Ecuador’s Challenge: Rout Organized Crime Without Endangering Democracy (Carnegie)

Noboa must find a way to make Ecuador safer but avoid resorting to military repression Daniel Noboa’s reelection in Ecuador on April 13 was remarkable. At thirty-seven, he is one of the youngest heads of government ever to have won reelection in a free and fair election, having obtained 55.7 percent of valid votes and beaten opposition […]

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Proliferação nuclear entre ex-aliados dos EUA torna-se mais provável (Estadão)

Dependência dos EUA sob Trump parece cada vez mais arriscada para governos em Berlim, Varsóvia, Seúl e Tóquio A possibilidade de que ex-aliados dos Estados Unidos busquem um guarda-chuva nuclear próprio, diante da crescente imprevisibilidade de Washington sob a presidência de Donald Trump, deixou de ser tabu e passou a integrar o debate político em […]

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Should India still receive development aid?

  My twitterfeed is made up of Chinese, Indian, Russian and Brazilian foreign policy analysts – and while most of them stricly comment on international issues, domestic concerns frequently slip in. During the last days, Russia’s and China’s twitterati  commented on their respective protests and corruption. Brazilians despaired over a policy strike that imperils this […]

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