After numerous analysts had warned, over the past years, of the risks of a “Brazilian January 6” in the aftermath of a Lula victory, the invasion of...
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The departing president’s decision to go abroad divided followers and makes the construction of a cohesive opposition movement all the more...
With Brazil’s democracy pulled back from the cliff, the success of the Lula campaign offers insights about how to stem the authoritarian tide...
The radicalization of the Novo Party and the decline of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party suggests Brazil’s moderate right remains a...
BY OLIVER STUENKEL DECEMBER 13, 2022 Instability, anti-incumbent voting and a tough macroeconomic environment are here to stay. SÃO PAULO — Latin...
Repudiation of numerous radical pro-Trump candidates suggests Brazilian voters, too, may grow tired of the most extreme elements of...
Divisions over a candidate for a multilateral post show that obstacles to cooperation still remain, even with more ideological alignment. BY...
NOVEMBER 08, 2022 COMMENTARY A more disciplined demagogue would have succeeded in destroying Brazilian democracy Last month, former army captain Jair...
Oliver Stuenkel is a political analyst and a professor at the School of International Relations at Fundação Getulio Vargas in São Paulo. Jair...
OCTOBER 25, 2022 Once deemed unlikely, reelection would allow Brazil’s president to double down on his cultural agenda and bring an uncertain...
While often called the ‘Trump of the Tropics,’ Jair Bolsonaro is in many ways a throwback to Latin America’s 20th century caudillos. As analysts...
The first-round vote ended with a margin much slimmer than expected between the main candidates, President Jair Bolsonaro and former President Luiz...
The Threat to Democracy Looming Over Brazil’s Election By Oliver Stuenkel September 29, 2022 Days ahead of Brazil’s October 2 presidential...
For China, the Brazilian president is an ally against the West. SEPTEMBER 22, 2022, 8:00 AM When Jair Bolsonaro won Brazil’s last presidential...
SEPTEMBER 08, 2022 COMMENTARY The utopian proposal must give way to a more moderate vision, voters say. When Chile experienced mass protests in late...
While Brazil’s economic elites largely plan to vote for Bolsonaro, international investors tend to support Lula Over the past few weeks...
BIO
Oliver Della Costa Stuenkel is a political analyst, speaker and a Professor at the School of International Relations at Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) in São Paulo. He is also a non-resident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington DC, a non-resident Fellow at the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi) in Berlin, and a columnist for Estado de São Paulo and Americas Quarterly. His research focuses on geopolitics and global order, Brazilian foreign policy, Latin American politics and emerging powers. He is the author of several books about geopolitics, including The BRICS and the Future of Global Order (Lexington) and the Post-Western World: How Emerging Powers Are Remaking Global Order (Polity).BOOK: POST-WESTERN WORLD
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