Publicações
How will China rise?
China does not seek to overthrow today’s global order, but hopes that it will turn into a “responsible stakeholder”, especially with regards to “soft issues” such as human rights, are misguided. Rather, China will act as a “free-rider” as long as possible, obey global norms and regimes selectively, and continue to avoid trouble that could […]
Uni-, multi-, or nonpolar? It depends on where you ask
Is the world unipolar, multipolar, or nonpolar? It depends whom you ask. But apparently, it may depend even more on where you ask, for national perspectives determine more than anything the lens through which analysts of international relations view and interpret the world. Many Europeans, for example, tend to believe the world is multipolar, […]
Do international institutions make the world a safer place?
As the world finds itself in transition from a unipolar, US-dominated system to a multipolar structure with several poles, there is a widespread assumption that international organizations, or “global governance”, is crucial for this transition and its aftermath to take place in a peaceful manner. Countless IR analysts therefore spend their days studying ways to […]
Who is Dilma Rousseff, Brazil’s potential next President?
When Dilma Rousseff was chosen as the Workers’ Party’s candidate for this year’s presidential elections during the party’s congregation yesterday, few were surprised. Lula has been explicit about his anointed successor for a long time. For months, Ms. Rousseff, Lula’s chief of staff, who is commonly called Dilma (pronounced “Djilma”), has been on his side, […]
Lula movie fails to impress Brazilians as election nears
Despite a large-scale marketing campaign prior to its launch, ticket discounts, and a sophisticated strategy to show the movie from trucks in areas where there are no cinemas, the much awaited film “Lula, the son of Brazil”, a biography of the country’s popular President, turned out to be a flop. Only five weeks after its […]
How long can Brazil walk the tightrope?
As Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad annouced to the world that his country would step up its uranium production, the response by the established Western powers was predictable. Alarm, condemnation and the call for tougher economic sanctions followed swiftly. Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, called for “crippling sanctions” against Tehran. While the US, the UK, France and […]
The 10 Issues to Watch in International Politics in 2010
While it is difficult to know what exactly will happen in international politics in 2010, we can predict what the key issues are that will shape global politics over the coming year- i.e., where to look for the important stuff. There is, of course, always the chance of unforeseen events. Who would have predicted a […]
Relations with IMF: India and Brazil Must Let Go Of The Past
December 16, 2009 by Oliver Stuenkel When India’s Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee and his Brazilian counterpart Guido Mantega announced, during the IMF’s annual meeting in Istanbul in October, that India and Brazil would both lend $ 10 billion to the International Monetary Fund, it symbolised, more than anything, both countries’ transition from developing country to global player. Brazilian […]
2010 Soccer World Cup: The BRICs’ no-show
Over the past years, the BRICs’ role in world affairs has been steadily increasing. Nowadays, global summits can no longer claim legitimacy and inclusiveness without inviting Brazil, Russia, India and China. Yet, yesterday’s glittering FIFA’s World Cup Draw Ceremony reminded us that during the 2010’s Football World Cup- the Global Summit on Soccer (the “G32”) […]
“Brasilien möchte sich als Mediator zwischen Iran und Israel positionieren.”
Interview mit dem Politikwissenschaftler Oliver Stuenkel (23.11.2009) (in German) To listen to the interview, click here: Link Read also: BRICS suchen gemeinsame Positionen Analysen und Argumente: Brasilien nach Lula Internationale strategische Bedrohungen für Brasilien BRICS Summit: A Perspective from Brazil
Can Lula fix the Middle East?
Brazil’s President Lula is a lucky man. With an approval rating north of 80% in his seventh year in office and a booming economy, Lula has the luxury to gloss over unpopular but necessary projects such as tax and pension reform, and to focus on the icing on the cake for the remainder of his […]
G8 needs a seismic shake-up
by Oliver Stuenkel http://www.mg.co.za/article/2009-07-12-g8-needs-a-seismic-shakeup Like previous summits, the G8 summit in Italy this week was tinged by the host’s culture and personal taste. George W Bush invited the world’s leaders to an island off Georgia in 2004; Britain’s Tony Blair hosted the summit in a Scottish luxury hotel in 2005; and Germany’s Angela Merkel played […]
G-8: Por que não G-14?
Valor Econômico Segunda-feira, 29 de junho de 2009 Oliver Stuenkel Potências emergentes não ocidentais estão se sentindo cada vez mais estimuladas a criar suas próprias cúpulas Quando o próximo encontro do G-8 realizar-se na Itália no mês que vem, ele terá, como os anteriores, as feições da cultura e do gosto pessoal do anfitrião. O […]
More than a dream? Obama’s vision of a nuclear arms-free world
Published by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, June 15, 2009 Oliver Stuenkel http://www.kas.de/wf/doc/kas_16799-544-2-30.pdf “Our age has stolen the fire from the Gods. Can we confine it to peaceful means before it consumes us?” Henry Kissinger In Prague on April 5th, Barack Obama announced a drastic change in U.S. nuclear policy. It would be his goal to […]